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HSF Briefs

The April To June Quarterly Labour Force Survey: A Cautionary Note
Author: Charles Simkins
Published: 30 Sep 2020
The April to June Quarterly Labour Force Survey has appeared. While the HSF commends Stats SA for finally producing it (there were two delays in publication). The HSF cautions that this survey is less reliable than its predecessors for reasons which Charles Simkins elucidates.
Economy Briefs Covid-19 Governance Securing Accountability
Electoral Reform: Constitutional Constraints On The Design Of Our Electoral System
Author: Catherine Kruyer
Published: 29 Sep 2020
The Helen Suzman Foundation is producing a series of briefs on electoral reform in South Africa. Following the landmark decision of the Constitutional Court to allow independent candidates to contest national and provincial elections, this series will examine the road ahead from the policy, legislative and institutional perspectives. This brief, the second in our series, will explore the constitutional constraints on our electoral system.
Economy Briefs Covid-19 Governance Securing Accountability
Electoral Reform: Understanding the New Nation Movement case
Author: Kimera Chetty
Published: 29 Sep 2020
The Helen Suzman Foundation will be producing a series of briefs on electoral reform in South Africa. Following the landmark decision of the Constitutional Court to allow independent candidates to contest national and provincial elections,this series will examine the road ahead from the policy, legislative and institutional perspectives. This brief, the first in our series, will explore the reasoning of the Court and consider the implications of the judgment.
Economy Briefs Covid-19 Governance Securing Accountability
July Production Statistics: An Indication Of A V-Shaped Recovery?
Author: Charles Simkins and Charles Collocott
Published: 28 Sep 2020
Statistics South Africa publishes monthly production statistics for mining, manufacturing, electricity distributed, the five components of trade, catering and accommodation and two components of trade, storage and communication. The July 2020 estimates have now been published. Gross domestic product statistics have been published for the first two quarters of 2020. What do these estimates reveal about economic recovery since the Level 5 lock down?
Economy Briefs Covid-19 Governance Securing Accountability
The Implications Of The Second Quarter 2020 Gross Domestic Product Data
Author: Charles Simkins
Published: 11 Sep 2020
Dr Simkins highlights that the StatsSA announcement on 8 September of a 51% fall in GDP is misleading in the light of a sharp, temporary shock to the economy as a result of the COVID-19 epidemic. The Brief discusses information from the GDP data about the distribution of the burden of the shock. Further analysis of the distribution will become possible when the Quarterly Employment Statistics and the Quarterly Labour Force Survey are published in late October.
Economy Briefs Covid-19 Governance Securing Accountability
Austerity And A Permanent Income Shock
Author: Charles Simkins
Published: 15 Jul 2020
This brief distinguishes between a policy of austerity and the fact of a permanent decline in per capita income, arguing that South Africa should adapt to a drop of real per capita income of 7 to 10% since 2014. It considers the trajectory of monetary and fiscal policy in this light.
Economy Briefs Covid-19 Governance Securing Accountability