There has never been any shortage of
violence in the Eastern Cape. It can take the form of savage feuds
between rival clans and villages (Pondoland); family rivalries
exploited by Gauteng mines-based criminals and Mozambique gun runners
(Tsolo and Qumbu); medieval style stock raids along the
Transkei-Lesotho border; or on-going taxi wars (Idutywa, Mqanduli,
Engcobo, Elliotdale, Bizana, Lusikisiki, Port St Johns, Umtata and East
London). As the election draws near, there is widespread fear that
straightforward political violence will be added to this list.
The tone was set by ANC provincial publicity secretary Mcebisi Bata
when he told a rally in Zwelitsha in April last year that opposition
parties would first have to seek the ANC’s “permission” before being
“allowed to campaign in our areas”. Zwelitsha outside King William’s
Town is a traditional ANC stronghold, but the United Democratic
Movement (UDM) has being making inroads there. In February conflict
between the two parties’ supporters resulted in razed homes. According
to police one UDM supporter was beaten up and his home torched by ANC
supporters. In the same month in nearby Breidbach both the UDM and
Democratic Party reported that the ANC had intimidated their party
election agents and ripped down their campaign posters.
In January just outside East London, the PAC made warlike noises when
it intercepted a bakkie carrying the ANC’s anti-PAC propaganda
pamphlet, Pan Africanist Congress of Azania: A Viable Alternative Or a
Flat Spare Tyre?, which was destined for the Transkei. The PAC hijacked
and seized the consignment after a tip-off and laid a formal complaint
before the IEC.
In February a man was stabbed to death in East London’s Duncan Village
shantyland, another militant ANC stronghold, during a fight between ANC
and PAC youth supporters. Police preferred not to make the incident
public or release his name for fear of increasing tension. The SANDF
carried out a massive exercise in the streets and outlying districts of
East London in March to prepare for possible election-day violence. The
Independent Electoral Commission’s provincial head office in the city
has been convening regular monthly meetings with all political parties
to try to prevent violent conflict.
The PAC itself is riddled with divisions. A younger and more radical
faction calling itself the Positive Action Council has won support in
the Karoo and Border regions and has some 80 branches behind it.
Although railing against the party’s old guard, it wants ageing
Clarence Makwetu re-installed as president as he is perceived as more
in touch with grassroots membership than Bishop Stanley Mogoba. In a
disturbing development for the party in its most important province,
the Positive Action Council announced at a memorial service in King
William’s Town for assassinated UDM general secretary Sifiso Nkabinde
that it would be campaigning for the UDM.
The PAC’s travails will no doubt complicate the work of peacekeepers,
but the real election battle in the Eastern Cape is between the ANC and
the UDM. This is especially so in the densely populated and largely
rural Transkei with its strong tribal organisation and desperate need
for land reform to attract investment. The chiefs, who are so important
in the social structure, have shown an increasing loyalty of late to
Holomisa notwithstanding a convenient salary hike announced by the
government in April.
Open antagonism following Nkabinde’s murder has been most apparent in
the Transkei’s capital Umtata and the sprawling shantytowns that
surround it. They have been swollen by an influx of the jobless from
closures and cutbacks on Gauteng mines. In February, in the weeks
following Nkabinde’s murder, reporters spotted men toting automatic
weapons patrolling outside the ANC’s Umtata offices and it was clear
that the party was taking no chances.
So far antagonism has mainly been expressed in a poster war. Local ANC
deputy chairman Mandla Makhupula has condemned what he called a
systematic campaign to tear down ANC posters and replace them with UDM
posters. He claimed in early February that 600 out of 1,000 posters had
been torn down by UDM members in Umtata alone. The IEC, however, says
it has received no complaints. Makhupula said he jotted down the
registration number of a van carrying people who were seen tearing down
ANC posters and replacing them with UDM banners and gave the
information to the police. A man who removed a poster outside the old
South African embassy complex was caught redhanded by the police and
told them that he had no political allegiances and “had been sent to do
it by people who do not like the ANC”. At the post office in Xhora,
south of Umtata, a senior official ordered ANC posters removed, saying
they were not permitted on post office walls, though the IEC says they
can be placed anywhere except in its own offices and in registration
and voting stations. Later the ANC banners were replaced by UDM
ones.
Appealing to ANC supporters not to “take revenge” by reciprocating and
to “maintain their political maturity and tolerance”, Makhupula said in
a thinly veiled reference to the UDM, “some organisations have failed
dismally to engage their members in political education.” Regional UDM
spokesman Gogo Mabandla responded that “Umtata is a stronghold of the
UDM, so there is no need for us to tear down any posters of a certain
organisation, because we are in control.” The ANC was welcome to lay
charges against the UDM and substantiate its allegations if it wished,
he added.
At the Payne’s Farm informal settlement near Umtata, soldiers and
police raided the home of Fuza Tshuta, in mid-March and seized four
limpet mines, a dozen handgrenades and a number of R4 rifles — enough
arms “to start a small war”. The area is notorious for car hijackings
and Telkom cable theft and, in February, Telkom withdrew from it
because of the frequent hijackings of its repair and maintenance
vehicles. Payne’s Farm is a UDM stronghold that has been the scene of
bloody, sporadic violence over the past three years. The ANC did its
best to make political capital out of the arms find, though the UDM
distanced itself from the find.
News reporters in the province agree this election will be an ugly one
for journalists as well as politicians. Most newsrooms have made the
wearing of bulletproof vests obligatory and insist on prior assurances
from political parties of safe passage for reporters, especially those
covering township election rallies. Because the media daily report
social service breakdowns, crumbling infrastructure and rampant
provincial government corruption, it has earned the wrath of the ANC
and the provincial government. They frequently accuse the media of
having an “anti-black agenda” and even of openly supporting the New
National Party and Democratic Party opposition in the Bisho
legislature. At the opening of parliament in February, Premier
Makhenkesi Stofile made an unprecedented attack on the “blatantly
racist” provincial media. In “attacking” the government by not
highlighting its successes, the media was “anti-black”, charged
Stofile, to delirious applause from the gallery. His speech shocked the
media and political observers, among them representatives of the
British High Commission, and bodes ill for the election run-up.